The Su-24 price: experts estimate that Russia will lose from breaking with Turkey


The rupture of relations with Turkey could cost the Russian Federation is not cheap: summer beach holidays may not be available for millions of Russian tourists, cheap fruits and vegetables disappear from the shelves of shops and Turkish gas stream can be and is not built.

After Turkish AIR FORCE shot down a Russian Su-24 bomber, relations between Russia and Turkey significantly more complex. According to the President of the Institute of contemporary development Igor Yurgens, all economic interests will be subject to audit "If a conflict situation you will not be able to unlock the with a link to Газета.ru.

Jurgens said that now under attack may be food and tourism industry.

Downed Su-24 had a negative impact on tourism. Thus, Russian agencies argue that the level of terrorist threat in Turkey now nothing less than Egypt. So, in an official communication of the Rostourism stated that: "the travel services of Russian tourists in the Republic of Turkey in the face of the threat of terrorism is a flagrant violation of the legislation of the Russian Federation".

Over the years, Turkey has been the main destination for foreign tourists. So, for example, only for the first half of this year to Egypt and Turkey had 2.1 million Russian tourists.

Replace the Red Sea tour operators intended to precisely Turkey, so a ban on the sale of tours to this country would be another severe blow to the industry.

The airline, which carried out Charter flights to Turkish resorts from Russia, also harmed. For example, only due to the suspension of flights to Egypt before the end of year 2015 the RUSSIAN airlines lose 9 billion rubles.

Under attack proved to be import-export of goods between the two countries. Thus, Turkey is one of the largest trading partners of the Russian Federation. Last year it ranked sixth with a turnover of 31.6 billion dollars.

Turkey supplies in Russia sel′hozsyr′e and food, shoes, textiles, equipment, machinery and vehicles. It is also the largest food supplier in Russia. At this stage, the alternatives are not product of Turkey, because Russia has already banned imports from EU countries. Russia supplies to Turkey, oil, gas, coal, metals, and wheat.

Embargo on Turkey could lead to shortages of fruit and vegetables. Consequently, food prices will rise.

The construction of the gas pipeline, the situation around which so was challenging, also may be under attack. In this case, Russia will lose its already invested money in this project, and it's about three billion dollars.

"Turkey have nothing to replace Russian gas, therefore, cooperation in the gas sphere will continue," said Pigariov. -Turkey is the second largest importer of Russian gas after Germany, and therefore, the country would be trying to make the gas issue over the perimeter of the conflict. In particular, the new head of the Turkish Ministry of energy and natural resources has already said Albayrak Berat that "does not look pessimistic" on relations between the two countries in the industry. However, we can say with confidence that the signing of any document on the "Turkish stream in the next few months will not take place", said Senior Analyst IR Rye, Man & Gor Securities Sergey Pigariov.

At the same time, neither Russia nor Turkey has not yet announced any sanctions and the termination of cooperation. More recently, however, the Kremlin has already demonstrated that strikes against its own interests it its "partners" to forgive is not ready. But the effect of costs that can go Russia impact first and foremost on ordinary citizens.


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