A downed Russian air force bomber Turks said that Putin is professional. He actively promotes moral St. Petersburg back, forgetting that according to the morals, if someone is too nagleet-gets a hard nut to crack. Here Putin and got too tough. Turkey's airspace is not the first red line that moved.
Before that, Russian Aviation bombed the villages of the Syrian-Turkish ethnic Turks, who after the partition of the Ottoman Empire became citizens of Syria. They shall be under the special patronage of the Turkish Government to the IGIL they are irrelevant. They even Assad didn't touch-afraid of the Turks.
So, the Government of Turkey stated that, as a result of the Russian air force airstrike were victims among the civilian population. And even before that Erdogan did extremely harsh statements-to the point that Russia will burn in the fire because of its policy. Economic relations between countries is also very strenuous. In General, the Turks have repeatedly warned the Russians. And here they are attacked.
It is also played its role and the inefficiency of the Russian armed forces, which they demonstrated in Syria. Advertised air strikes, which were presented on Russian television as one solid victory, in any normal expert produce extremely depressing impression in terms of military capabilities.
The Kremlin acts in the same way as during the war against Georgia in 2008, is they have no precision weapons, they dump their bombs during the second world war, almost uncontrollable. And beats the Russian long-range bombers launched cruise missiles have proved to be highly inaccurate and ineffective. Not to mention that such bombing just pointless-it's like that, as they say in Russian saying, shoot from guns on sparrows. In particular, according to representatives of the IGIL and Syrian opposition, part of the missiles fired by Russian pilots on IGILu at Raqqah and Aleppo, lit up in the air while flying, part fell on wasteland, part simply disappeared somewhere along the way, not having reached the goal.
Of those that hit somewhere-in Aleppo the Russians bombed the bakery, city water pumping station and a pharmaceuticals factory. And to have been able to get only four Raqqa missiles. One exploded over wasteland in the suburbs, and the second fell into the Canal, two hit residential quarters. The Russian authorities have not shown any of the frame where the missiles hit. Apparently, no data except those that leads the Syrian opposition and IGIL, they do not have. That is another proof of the ineffectiveness of the RF armed forces. Russian military power was even weaker than it could have been predicted before the start of the Syrian campaign.
The Turkish army can not only destroy all Russian grouping Syria, but also reach Rostov-if he wants. There is still the question of why the Russians have continued to violate the airspace of Turkey, although Erdogan Kremlin previously clear that will not endure. It cannot be excluded that the pilots shot down the bomber then flew into Turkey unintentionally: they do not have good navigation, and soldiers have very low levels of combat training. Therefore, it cannot be certain to argue that Russian Defense Ministry lied when said their plane was in airspace of Syria-maybe they really thought.
On the other hand, it could be a conscious provocation. Because the first violations of Turkish airspace by Russian planes were intentional. In such a case, another question arises: Why ask for trouble with a much stronger opponent? The answer is obvious, as many experts have said, and more than once. Putin could fall into the trap which caught many authoritarian leaders-information about the world that takes the Court Entourage and that is they have in mind is untrue. Quite possibly, Putin decided that the Turks must fear that he is stronger. But the fact remains that the first armed confrontation between the forces of NATO and the Russian army. And Turkey is not just a member of NATO, and the largest army of NATO. What the Turks shot down Russian bomber, profoundly changing the entire layout in Syria. If before Russia forgive the bombing the Syrian opposition, now it's hard to say how this will develop. The first reaction from the Kremlin was very sluggish-any loud statements, threats and punishments of God on the heads of representatives of the Turkish Government. First, quite a modest statement of Defense of the Russian Federation. Then the Russian President's spokesman Peskov denied reports that Putin wants to assemble an emergency meeting of the Security Council. This was followed by a finally statement by Putin himself, and it was even more sluggish. In an almost izvinâûŝemsâ tone. -"As if it were we shot down a Turkish plane, instead they are our" perplexed Putin. "Russia has always belonged to Turkey is not simply as a close neighbour, but as a friendly State," "don't know who needed what was yesterday, anyway, not us", "I understand that each State has its own regional interests, and we always treat them with respect." After Putin again issued a statement, strongly rejection possibility of military consequences for Turkey after the attack on the Su-24.
In connection with such a degree reactions to, without a doubt, a sensational event you should pay attention to how interesting highlights energy blockade of Crimea in the news releases on the official Russian tv. All served as some sort of natural disaster: a word about "Kiev" and the junta on the "ukrofašistah" that is even more amazing is not a word about the "Right", even though he is one of the main forces in the siege, Crimean Tatars are not mentioned and sometimes casual, only on the picture flashes sometimes flag that Russian consumers "zomboyaschika" certainly does not identifies.
Today's news release second channel: supports energy Minister Novak. "This is a crime," he said, and these words illustrates the picture of what the krymsko-Tatar flags, which are unfamiliar to almost all Russians. That for the flag is not a Word. Further, the Minister said: "We hope that the Ukrainian authorities will curb the extremists". No sharp words. No "require". No one even hint at threats against Ukraine. The impression that the Kremlin is very scared that he did not expect this, don't know what to do. Although you cannot even compare forces activists who over the blockade, with the strength of the Turkish regular army. However, something made Putin to respond to ènergoblokadu such a dear for him "Krymnaša". But back to Turkey and involving two MIAs and one Russian bomber. Russian authorities said their plane downed in Syrian territory, so theoretically they can consider this as an act of war. The question is whether they want. Russia is likely to back down. If the Kremlin will be decided for a military confrontation with the Turks-it will inevitably defeated. And on red square understands that for them it would be a disaster. As mentioned above, the Turkish army vastly superior Russian on strength and technique.
Another important point: today the Turks finally announced the creation of the buffer zone. I recall in August planned ground operation Turkey against the IGIL, which would become a net from the Syrian territory in 30 km. In this buffer zone along the border with Turkey were to be organized refugee camps. This operation was foiled invasion of Russian troops. IGIL same thanks this got long respite is the greatest danger for him is precisely ground operation, because some aviaudarami it is impossible to win. But thanks to the Russian operation in Syria Turkish operation was postponed. But since Turkey stated that going now to implement previously impossible ground offensive and fight with the IGIL, among other things, a downed aircraft is also a signal to Russia not to interfere and sit quietly. Than in the end Russia will respond with Turkey, it is hard to say for sure, but judging by the reaction on the blockade of the Crimea and the first bomber shot down allegations, the impression that the Kremlin lifted tail like the cowardly dog, realizing the real balance of forces. But, of course, one way or another, this is a turning point, the situation could change very drastically now and not in the same direction.
